Thanks for the feedback and ideas, I didn't even consider Great Form (although I may simply decide its Deathly Aura is its expression of that because none of the Great Powers really look fitting).
Here's what I have so far:
Croatoan
Force 7, built from rules for free spirit, modified from a Guidance template
Edit: stats:Body 7, Agility 7, Reaction 7, Strength 7, Charisma 7, Intuition 7, Logic 7, Willpower 8, Edge 7, Magic 7
Initiative 14, passes 2
Astral Initiative 14, passes 3
Armor B/I: 14/14
Condition Monitor: 12/12
Skills: Assensing, Astral Combat, Arcana, Dodge, Perception, Unarmed Combat, Sorcery group
Possible Skills (assuming it becomes a recurring threat): Influence group
Powers: Astral Form, Aura Masking, Confusion, Energy Drain*, Enhanced Senses (hearing), Influence, Materialization**, Mimicry, Shadow Cloak, Deathly Aura (modified, cold is constant but it only betrays an aura of trepidation to geomancers or characters with Symbiosis)
Possible Powers: Sapience
Weaknesses: allergy (moonlight, moderate)
Some spirits come to earth out of a sense of curiosity about the world or metahumanity. Some spirits, such as the Shedim, come out of a hatred for life and desire to snuff it out. This spirit, related to shadow spirits, appears to come to earth in order to feed on metahumanity. Innately skilled at slipping through astral space, it clings to the cold and the dark that it seems to exude, patiently but hungrily preying on the lonely, the old, the young and inexperienced. It leaves a chilling but very hard-to-track mark on the environment it stays in, lacking the obvious aura of fear or foreboding of Shedim. Unlike some denizens of the dark, the Croatoan seems equally able to maintain activity in day and night; noted to avoid the outdoors while the moon is waxing, but seems to come out in force during the new moon. Cunning beyond a doubt, but it is unknown if it is truly sapient.
*=either Essence or Karma, I'm not sure which shadow spirits tend towards, or whether it would be a 'stun-damage LOS' or 'physical-damage touch' variant. It's current meal isn't the PCs this time around, so it probably won't matter.
**=Still not sure if this spirit would best be represented with a possession or materialization strain. Thoughts?