I never for a second believe that Great Dragons are caught unprepared (except, perhaps, by other Great Dragons
)
How cute.
I'm just jealous

In terms of Artificial Intelligence design, modern science (
Note: I'm not in a position to comment on Military R&D in this regard

) cannot possibly yet replicate the combination of:
1) Constant analysis of incoming information,
2) Lump sum of knowledge based on x thousand years of active life experience (which conveniently ignores the dragon hibernation cycle, although it's possible their minds were still active on the plances for this time, learning more information)
3) Predictive analysis of non-quantifiable variables (Human nature, Magical events)
4) Heretofore unprecedented level of organic intelligence to marry all these things together and spit out turns of events like a game of chess
Also a Human Logic/Intuition attribute rating of 1 is impaired, 9 is ultra-genius.
Great dragons take these to ratings of 13-15 as standard, with RAW mods of +1-3 improving these to ratings of 14-18..... enough to make Albert Einstein and Leonardo da Vinci look like brain dead vegetables in comparison.
Ergo, I find it easy to believe that Great Dragons are simply too off-the-scale intelligent for us mere metahumans to comprehend.
Further, I then find it more plausible to believe that such a creature is rarely, if ever, caught unprepared (especially if they've focused so much thought to a particular course of action, up to and including suicide).